Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for KAI-TAK-17 in Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines from 13 Dec 2017 18:00 UTC to 17 Dec 2017 06:00 UTC

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GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KAI-TAK-17 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Malaysia, Viet Nam, Brunei Darussalam, Indonesia, Philippines
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	93 km/h
Maximum storm surge	n.a.
Vulnerability	High (Malaysia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	56 km/h	n.a.	n.a.	0.5
Overall	93 km/h	0.0 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

56 km/h Current Max.

Up to 9.6 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	13 Dec 2017 18:00	65	19.8 million	No people	Philippines
2	14 Dec 2017 00:00	74	11.5 million	No people	Philippines
3	14 Dec 2017 06:00	74	13 million	No people	Philippines
4	14 Dec 2017 12:00	74	41.8 million	No people	Philippines
5	14 Dec 2017 18:00	83	81.7 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia
6	15 Dec 2017 00:00	83	87.8 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam
7	15 Dec 2017 06:00	65	109.7 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
8	15 Dec 2017 12:00	93	77.6 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
9	15 Dec 2017 18:00	93	110.5 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam
10	16 Dec 2017 00:00	83	66.9 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
11	16 Dec 2017 06:00	83	99.5 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
12	16 Dec 2017 12:00	83	97.6 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
13	16 Dec 2017 18:00	74	62.2 million	No people	Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, Viet Nam, Cambodia
14	17 Dec 2017 00:00	56	9.6 million	No people	Philippines
15	17 Dec 2017 06:00	56	9.6 million	No people	Philippines

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	13 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	11.3, 127.3
2	14 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	1.9 million people	11.2, 127.3	Philippines
3	14 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	2.9 million people	11.1, 126.9	Philippines
4	14 Dec 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	5.6 million people	11.5, 127.7	Philippines
5	14 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	7.6 million people	11.5, 127.5	Philippines
6	15 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	6.2 million people	11.7, 127.7	Philippines
7	15 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.1 million people	11.7, 127.6	Philippines
8	15 Dec 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	7.5 million people	11.6, 127.8	Philippines
9	15 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	30.1 million people	12.1, 127.1	Philippines
10	16 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	8.8 million people	12.5, 126.3	Philippines
11	16 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	27.5 million people	12.4, 125.8	Philippines
12	16 Dec 2017 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	29.8 million people	12.1, 125.4	Philippines
13	16 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	10.7 million people	12, 124.9	Philippines
14	17 Dec 2017 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	12.2, 124.2	Philippines
15	17 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	12.2, 122.7	Philippines
15	17 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	11.7, 120.7	Philippines
15	18 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	11.3, 118.9	Philippines
15	18 Dec 2017 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	10.8, 117.3
15	19 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	10.3, 115.8
15	20 Dec 2017 06:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	9.3, 112.8

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country	Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Philippines	no people

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Bicol	Philippines
Eastern Visayas	Philippines
Central Visayas	Philippines
Northern Mindanao	Philippines
Southern Mindanao	Philippines

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Bulan	Bicol	Philippines	City	28000 people
Bogo	Central Visayas	Philippines	City	23000 people
Calbayog	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	68000 people
Carigara	Leyte	Philippines	City	17000 people
Barugo	Leyte	Philippines	City	6500 people
Ormoc	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	91000 people
Babatñgon	Leyte	Philippines	City	-
Tacloban	Tacloban City	Philippines	City	190000 people
Burauen	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	14000 people
Palo	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	18000 people
Tanauan	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	16000 people
Dulag	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	10000 people
Guiuan	Eastern Visayas	Philippines	City	11000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Masbate	MBT	15	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Legaspi	LGP	20	Civ.	Paved	No	6800
Sorsogon		37	Civ.	Unpaved	No	3200
Biliran Natl		89				0
Calbayog	CYP	3	Civ.	Paved	No	4800
Catarman	CRM	2	Civ.	Paved	No	4400
Virac	VRC	37	Civ.	Paved	No	5100
Catbalogan		15				0
Philphos		5				0
Ormoc	OMC	25	Civ.	Paved	No	3900
Daniel Z Romualdez	TAC	2	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7000
Dolores		2				0
Borongan		2				0
Maasin		100				0
Guiuan		2	Civ.	Paved	No	7000
Surigao	SUG	6	Civ.	Paved	No	5000
Nonoc		4				0
Siargao		3				0
Tandag	TDG	5	Civ.	Paved	No	4400

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Port Barrera		Philippines
Masbate		Philippines
Masbate	PHMBT	Philippines
Donsol		Philippines
Bulan		Philippines
Magallanes Bay		Philippines
Legazpi	PHLGP	Philippines
Casiguran		Philippines
Sorsogon		Philippines
Santa Fe		Philippines
Coal Harbor		Philippines
Bogo		Philippines
San Isidro		Philippines
Arevalo		Philippines
Calubian		Philippines
Calbayog		Philippines
Borbon		Philippines
Leyte		Philippines
Sogod Bay		Philippines
Villaba		Philippines
Palompon		Philippines
Virac Catanduanes Island		Philippines
Carmen		Philippines
Isabel	PHISL	Philippines
Port Bello		Philippines
Catbalogan	PHCTS	Philippines
Talalora		Philippines
Merida		Philippines
Ormoc		Philippines
Laoang		Philippines
Pilar		Philippines
Tacloban	PHTAC	Philippines
Tanauan		Philippines
Baybay		Philippines
Borongan	PHBGV	Philippines
Sogod		Philippines
Lagome		Philippines
Maasin		Philippines
Gen Macarthur		Philippines
Malitbog		Philippines
Liloan		Philippines
Guiuan		Philippines
Surigao	PHSUG	Philippines
Numancia		Philippines
Dapa		Philippines
Tandag		Philippines
Aras Asan		Philippines

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.